2008

Quick '08 Update

- In Nashville for the DLC conference, President Clinton avoided weighing in on the "spat" between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, instead choosing the higher ground by saying "there's more than one way to practice diplomacy."

- Ron Paul defends his plan to capture Osama bin Laden, which was described in The Politico as "wacky."

- Barack Obama referenced the work of President Theodore Roosevelt during a speech on government reform yesterday in Cedar Rapids. Obama is also the subject of two articles - from the Washington Post and The Washington Times - on the views of his candidacy within the African American community.

- Don Frederick discusses the significance of Rudy Giuliani's health care proposal - to be released today - on the LA Times blog, Top of the Ticket. Related Rudy news: Speaking in New Hampshire, Giuliani attacked Democrats' views on taxes and health care, saying that they favor a "nanny government."

- John Edwards is set to begin his "Fighting for One America" bus tour throughout Iowa. Edwards will travel to 30 counties over 7 days. As The Politico points out, it's possible that Edwards will continue to use the media's inability to focus on the issues that matter within his campaign to further his cause.

- This morning, Joe Biden discussed his new book, Promises to Keep, on the "Today Show." He'll be on Letterman tonight. (UPDATE: The video from Biden's interview with Letterman is available here.)

- Chris Cillizza discusses the upcoming Ames straw poll, as well as a possible speech Mitt Romney will deliver on his Mormon faith on his blog, The Fix.

- On a different note, AdAge takes a look at the lack of attack ads thus far in the 2008 presidential campaign.

- Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are both going up on air in Iowa. Romney re-released an ad on immigration in advance of the straw poll, whereas Obama's ad will focus on his idea of reforming Washington. This seems like a smart move, as Obama trails Hillary Clinton by a much wider margin in IA than he does in NH or SC.

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

More on the arms sales

In my posts this weekend I wondered whether the announced arms sales to the Sunni governments of the Middle East meant the Administration was strategically tossing the Shiite-led Maliki government in Iraq and the Iraqi Shiites under the bus, having now decided to back to the region's Sunnis in a more protracted battle against Iran and its regional allies.  A new post by Steve Benen at Talking Points Memo finds further evidence of this new "Sunni-tilt:"

Part of Gen. David Petraeus' job in Iraq is pressuring Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. Apparently, heads of state don't care for marching orders from generals from other countries, so it's caused a little bit of a strain on their professional relationship.

OK, more than a little.

A key aide says Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's relations with U.S. commander Gen. David Petraeus are so poor the Iraqi leader may ask Washington the withdraw the well-regarded U.S. military leader from duty here.

The Iraqi foreign minister calls the relationship "difficult." ... U.S. Ambassador Ryan Crocker, who meets together with al-Maliki and Petraeus at least weekly, concedes "sometimes there are sporty exchanges."

Al-Maliki has spoken sharply -- not of Petraeus or Crocker personally -- but about their tactic of welcoming Sunni militants into the fight against al-Qaida forces in Anbar and Diyalah provinces.

First, if the U.S. policy of arming Sunni militias is exacerbating the strained relations, Maliki probably won't like the fact that the administration has decided to do more of this, not less.

Second, if the relationship has deteriorated as poorly as the article suggests, would the White House seriously pull Petraeus from Iraq? After basing most of the existing policy on Bush's confidence in the general?

Thinking more about the meaning of the new Middle Eastern arms sales

The Times has an editorial today which examines some of the issues raised in my post yesterday, The Endless War becomes a Regional War. 

An excerpt:

The Bush administration and Saudi Arabia’s ruling family have a lot in common, including oil, shared rivals like Iran and a penchant for denial that has allowed both to overlook the Saudis’ enabling role in the Sept. 11 attacks. But their recent wrangling over Iraq cannot be denied or papered over with proposals for a big new arms sale. And if these differences are not tackled, there is an increased likelihood that the war’s chaos will spread far beyond Iraq’s borders.

While Washington hasn’t protested publicly, Riyadh is pouring money into Sunni opposition groups and letting Saudis cross the border to join Sunni insurgents fighting the American-backed, Shiite-led government. Washington estimates that nearly half of the 60 to 80 foreign fighters entering Iraq each month come from Saudi Arabia....

Congressional leaders need to quickly assess the long-term implications of the Surge, Part II , the just-announced arms sales to Israel and the Sunni-led Arab governments in the Middle East.  Has the Administration settled on a longer term strategic plan for the region, a Cold War like containment policy towards the area's rising power, Iran, as is suggested in an excellent piece by Robin Wright in the Post today? And does this involve throwing the current Shiite-led Iraqi government under the bus? And if that is the case what exactly are our troops doing in Iraq then? Propping up a government and a nation we've already strategically abandoned?

For all the saber rattling at Iran for meddling inside Iraq - Joe Lieberman has called it a de facto declaration of war against the United States - there is substantial publically-available evidence that the Sunni governments of the Middle East are much more actively funding their end of the emerging proxy war in Iraq than the Iranians are.  Where is the public outrage over the Saudi's funding of insurgents regularly killing the US? Or of the Egyptian government's support of a bootlegged Sunni TV station in Iraq that regularly celebrates the deaths of American servicemen?

For those wanting to learn more about all this, I would strongly suggest checking into the thinking of noted Tufts University scholar, Vali Nasr.  You can watch an interview I did with him recently, and learn more about how to buy his compelling book here.

The endless war becomes a regional war

It is time for Congress to appoint one of their periodic Blue Ribbon Commissions to review all aspects of the Iraq War.  So much has gone wrong that we need to have a big discussion not how just to bring it to a close, but how to prevent it from ever happening again. 

The review should look at everything: from the pre-war build up, to the execution of the military campaign, to the planning for the aftermath, to the horrible aftermath itself.  The nation needs to turn this terrible experience, so expensive in terms of lives, money and our standing in the world into a learning experience for future generations.  If Congress were to do this, and do it well, it would be a tremendous public service to the nation.  And the review could come out in late 2008 or early 2009 so as not to interfere with the Presidential Election, but to assist the next Administration in its own conduct of foreign policy in the post-Bush era. 

Two major stories today highlight the extent of the failure of our policy in the region.  The first, in the Times, details a new report on our reconstruction efforts in Iraq.  Remarkably, the $5.8 billion reviewed in the report is the cost of perhaps 2 weeks of our military efforts there (clearly inadequate btw), and yet it has been a total disaster:

Iraq’s national government is refusing to take possession of thousands of American-financed reconstruction projects, forcing the United States either to hand them over to local Iraqis, who often lack the proper training and resources to keep the projects running, or commit new money to an effort that has already consumed billions of taxpayer dollars.

The conclusions, detailed in a report released Friday by the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction, a federal oversight agency, include the finding that of 2,797 completed projects costing $5.8 billion, Iraq’s national government had, by the spring of this year, accepted only 435 projects valued at $501 million. Few transfers to Iraqi national government control have taken place since the current Iraqi government, which is frequently criticized for inaction on matters relating to the American intervention, took office in 2006.

The next is a story, widely reported this morning, on how the Administration has made a massive sale of arms to Israel and the Middle East's Sunni governments.  While there is much to discuss about with this move, it has been sold as a way to counter the region's new great threat - the rise of Iran.  What amazes me about our the War Supporters newfound fear of Iran's ascension is how, of course, the rising regional influence of Iran's is the direct result of the Iraq War itself.  Remember that it was our policy to installed in Iraq a Shiite government closely allied with Iran, upsetting the Sunni-Shiite political balance in the region.  When we hear Bush, and Senator Lieberman, go on about Iran we have to ask them was there any other possible outcome of your Iraq policy, which included the instillation of a Shiite-led Iranian-allied government in Iraq, then the regional ascension of Iran?  All of this feels like so much stumbling around in the geopolitical dark. 

And how will our Shiite allies running the Iraqi government respond to the arming of the Sunni governments in the region who are already funding Sunni insurgents in Iraq working to undermine the Iraqi government? Are the Saudi's funding Al Qaeda for example? Will these new arms we are providing to the region's Sunnis end up back in Iraq in Al Qaeda's hands, or other Sunni insurgents intent on killing Americans? Is this move an acknowledgement of our failure in Iraq, that our post-war political strategy in the region has failed, and the establishment of a predicate for withdrawal and abandonment of Iraq's Shiites and their government? Have we, with this act, essential chosen the region's Sunnis over the Shiites and thrown the Iraqi government under the bus?  

The endless Iraq war has now officially become a regional war.  It is long past time for a big conversation not just about ending the war in Iraq, but also for what our vision is for the region in its aftermath.  Bush has layed down a new and powerful marker.  What is the proper response?

Quick '08 Update

- The Huckabee and Obama campaigns have posted videos of their candidates discussing immigration. Huckabee's comments are from a meet and greet in Muscatine, IA. Obama's comments are from the National Council of La Raza (NCLR) conference that occurred this past weekend. (Hillary Clinton also addressed the NCLR conference.)

- Marking the 17th anniversary of the Americans with Disabilities Act, Hillary Clinton released her agenda to expand economic opportunity for individuals with disabilities.

- There's a lot of talk about Fred Thompson these days. Today's Washington Post details Thompson's past his legal career. Yesterday, Chris Cillizza analyzed the current state of Fred Thompson's campaign, while Time asked "Is Fred Thompson the GOP's Savior?"

- Coming off the YouTube debate I figured it would be worth mentioning that, according to the Pew Internet and American Life Project, 1 in 5 adults watch web videos.

- Barack Obama went up on radio in South Carolina yesterday. Listen to the ad on his website. (NOTE: Click the play button in the box to the right under "On the Air in South Carolina.")

- In a few recent interviews, John Edwards has been asked how he plans on paying for his proposals. Well, today, Edwards is going to propose a raise in the capital gains tax rate. That added revenue, Edwards says, will be used to finance tax cuts for the middle class.

- Mark Thoma takes Rudy Giuliani's views on energy independence to task on his blog, Economist's View.

- Mitt Romney used the recent news regarding registered sex offenders on MySpace to discuss his "One Strike, You're Ours" policy at an event in New Hampshire in this video.

- While everyone is still left wondering whether Michael Bloomberg will enter the race, it is worth noting where he stands among among his constituents in New York City. A Quinnipiac poll shows that 34 percent say they "definitely" or "probably" would vote for him, with 57 percent who say they "probably" or "definitely" won't vote for him.

- In advance of the Iowa straw poll on August 11th, Tom Tancredo is on TV with a new ad.

- The Daily Show weighs in on the CNN-YouTube debate in the video below. Thanks to PrezVid:



For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Quick '08 Update

- The Caucus blog has a neat look at how videos were chosen for the debate. 

- John McCain picked up another endorsement yesterday. This one comes from Glenn Steil, a former Michigan State Senator. Meanwhile, Rudy Giuliani announced the endorsements he's received in Southeast Iowa. (According to this Washington Post-ABC News poll, Giuliani is enjoying a lead over his rivals. Note: the link also features a not-so-flattering picture of McCain.)

- On behalf of his campaign, Gov. Bill Richardson presented a check (and, briefly, his background) to the Charleston Firefighter's Fund in this video. (Seems like a thoughtful gesture, given what happened in Charleston in June.)

- The candidacies of Ron Paul and Mike Gravel are the subject of this article in the LA Times. Who knows what could happen? Remember, Newt Gingrich said that the Republican presidential field is a "pathetic bunch of pygmies."

- The New York Times gives a good summary of the back and forth that ensued between the Clinton and Obama campaigns after each candidate's comments on diplomacy. (Yesterday night, Obama's campaign also highlighted the support it has received from former/retired officials from the State Department, Army, and Navy.)

- Mitt Romney's campaign is tracking who the DNC is targeting in its various releases regarding the 2008 cycle.

- The Biden campaign highlights an OpEd written by a Texas Republican that praises Biden for his performance and chides the debate's format for not giving ample time to many of the candidates.

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Quick '08 Update

- Much of today will be spent reading analysis and views from last night's CNN-YouTube debate. (Part 1 and Part 2 of the debate are available on CNN's website.) Before I get to that, though, a quick shout-out to Congress seems appropriate:

Reflecting on the question posed by Cecilia Smith and Asanti Wilkins from PA regarding the candidates' willingness to work for the minimum wage, I want to highlight (once more) that the federal minimum wage was increased for the first time in 10 years today. Read the statement we sent out last week for more.

- Due to the work of our New Politics Institute, I would be remiss if I didn't first touch on the technology present in last night's debate and afterwards. Check out NPI commentary in the San Francisco Chronicle, BBC, and the San Jose Mercury News. During the debate, Barack Obama asked his supporters to text him and tell him what they thought of his answers.

- For quick analysis, check out Chris Cillizza's quick take on the debate. Also, Eric Kleefeld and T.W. Farnam have a good round-up of the debate on TPMCafé.

- Roger Simon from The Politico gives the Edwards campaign some reason to celebrate, giving Edwards' performance the highest marks of all the candidates. (It seems as if someone agrees with the Edwards campaign's video, noting that other things do matter aside from Edwards' hair...). Meanwhile, Simon's colleague Ben Smith notes that Clinton, Biden and Obama won marks for their performance as well. Biden also received praise from the National Journal's blog, The Gate.

- Chris Dodd and Hillary Clinton posted videos of themselves answering YouTube questions before and during the debate. Be sure to check out their YouTube channels for more (Dodd's here and Clinton's here).

- Some non-debate news: make sure you check out Rudy Giuliani's first ads. They are on radio in New Hampshire and Iowa. Check out "Garbage Can", "Will Do", and "Out of Control". Also, the WSJ blog points out that John McCain seems to be going after hedge fund and private equity money. (Enter Mike Gravel's point from last night...)

- Until I post more updates, check out the Dodd campaign's Talk Clock from last night:

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

DVR Alert: CNN/YouTube Debate tonight at 7 PM EST on CNN

The Democratic candidates will gather tonight in South Carolina tonight for the first of the CNN/YouTube Debates, a fantastic example of how technology can involve more Americans in the political process. (Peter Leyden, the Director of our New Politics Institute explains the possibilities more in the Seattle Times.)

The deadline for submitting a question ended yesterday, but if you are curious as to what the questions might look like, check out YouTube. For a look at how the candidates themselves might present their ideas, Chris Cillizza has an analysis on his blog, The Fix.

Quick '08 Update

- For a glimpse of the sorts of questions that will arise in next week's YouTube/CNN debate, be sure to check out YouTube's site. The number of video submissions, which close on Sunday the 22nd, have reached 1700.

- As his campaign blog points out, Joe Biden, demanded results from U.S. Ambassador to Iraq, Ryan Crocker. Biden said: "We’re not staying, Mr. Ambassador, we’re not staying. We don’t have much time. Political benchmarks better be met, or we’re in real trouble because we’ll have traded a dictator for chaos.”

- Ron Paul is going to be profiled in this Sunday's New York Times Magazine. His campaign website has a preview. If you can't wait for Sunday's profile, check out this video of Ron Paul speaking in Las Vegas. (On a side note: Gov. Mike Huckabee might be a great musician in his own right, but playing Tears for Fears in his YouTube video gives Congressman Paul some cred.)

- Two interesting articles, one by JFK speechwriter and advisor Ted Sorenson and the other by JFK biographer Richard Reeves, are featured on Barack Obama's blog.

- Related note: Be sure to read Matt Bai's article on the experience of the current candidates in the race for the White House. Bai notes in the piece that, "At no time in modern history, however, have the crowded fields of both parties been so dominated by relative newcomers."

- In a speech on foreign policy in Des Moines, IA, Bill Richardson focused on issues like diplomacy and immigration. Read more in the Des Moines Register.

- Fulfilling the latest of his 12 Commitments, Rudy Giuliani unveiled his plan towards energy independence. Feel free to comment on Giuliani's plan (and/or his commitments in general) below.

- As Jonathin Martin points out in The Politico, Mitt Romney once supported similar age-appropriate sex education that Barack Obama supports. Yet he's lambasting Obama over his stance. How history has come to check present-day Mitt...

- Pleading him not to wait for the next hurricane, John Edwards encouraged President Bush to use his remaining time in office to tackle poverty in this letter. I wonder if the President reflecting his time on his Road to One America tour.

- The McCain campaign highlights the support of its intrepid New Hampshire following in the YouTube video below:

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Quick '08 Update

- In response to inquiries from the O'Reilly Factor, Hillary Clinton and Chris Dodd issued statements on their campaign's participation in YearlyKos. Media Matters has background on what prompted these statements here.

- Mitt Romney challenges Barack Obama's call for sex-education in Kindergarten in this YouTube video. Jeff Jarvis from PrezVid says that "even the Christian Broadcasting Network gave Obama a fairer shake."

- Be sure to check Joe Klein's article in Time entitled "Joe Biden's Quest." In it, Klein states:

Biden's message—that foreign policy is complicated, that Iraq and its consequences can't just be wished away, that a supple alternative to Republican overseas bullying must be found—is the most important of 2008. And it is the reason Joe Biden still adds real value to this campaign.

- The support Barack Obama's campaign has received from Iowans is the focus of this article in the Des Moines Register - something I'm sure the campaign welcomes in addition to the Obama for Commander in Chief tour, which is helping spread Obama's name across the Hawkeye State.

- Chris Cillizza describes his interview with John Edwards on his blog, The Fix. The interview is also featured in the Washington Post, co-written by Dan Balz.

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

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