2008

Quick '08 Update

- AdAge points to a Politico piece on proper polling that is worth checking out for anyone interested.

- Best video of the day: Joe Biden walking down the street, eating a sandwich, and challenging Rudy Giuliani. Crucial question: what kind of sandwich was it?

- The biggest piece of news today is that former President Jimmy Carter spoke about the U.F.O. he saw. This, of course, in context of Dennis Kucinich's comments from Tuesday's debate.

- Speaking of the debate, the Washington Post points out how Hillary Clinton has been regrouping from her performance. She has received a big endorsement and launched Hillblazers. And then there's her politics of pile-on video, which drew the Edwards campaign to respond in kind with a video of its own, the politics of parsing.

- Follow-up: One thing the "politics of pile-on" seems to have done is bring out a lot of comments describing Senator Clinton as "one strong woman." (An interesting contrast is Mark Penn's effort to show her as the most experienced candidate regardless of her gender.) Such comments led Matt Lauer to ask Barack Obama about the gender references on NBC's "Today Show."

- Chris Dodd took issue with the limited questions asked at the debate in this piece from the Huffington Post. Perhaps if we ditch the lightning round...

- Barack Obama is the focus of an upcoming New York Times Magazine piece. He also recently outlined both his views on Iran and his plan to end violence against women.

- According to John McCain, John McCain's record on abortion is "the most consistent of any of the major candidates."

- Governor Bill Richardson - who will be the first candidate to be interviewed by Playboy - received the endorsement of former Chrysler CEO Lee Iacocca. Perhaps Iacocca agrees the Larry Sabato and simply thinks that Richardson is unbeatable.

- More ads are going up: Barack Obama goes up on air in New Hampshire tomorrow with a new ad entitled "Need."; Mitt Romney is also up in New Hampshire with "Experience Matters."; Chris Dodd has two ads up: first, "Duet" and second, "View From The Shop."; Ron Paul is up on radio in New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, and South Carolina; and John Edwards is up in Iowa with "Heroes."

- Draft Gore.com launched its ad campaign yesterday. Check it out here.

- Fred Thompson had his first trip to Nevada today. Note the details of the disco ball and the mechanical bull in the article.

- And lastly, Colbert finds out about his candidacy from Carol Fowler, the Chair of the South Carolina Democratic Party:


For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Colbert Denied

 Stephen Colbert's presidential candidacy was denied this morning by a 13-3 vote. The executive committee of the South Carolina Democratic party cited his legitimacy as a candidate, as well as his time spent campaigning in the state as grounds for denial. (Vowing to "crush Georgia" at the University of South Carolina doesn't fulfill that requirement?)

Gilda Cobb-Hunter, who voted for Colbert, described the executive committee's debate over Colbert as:

"Vigorous," spearheaded by a "well-organized" group of 13 that she said seemed determined to keep Colbert off the ballot. "I would love to see that kind of energy put toward party building — they were ginned up," she said, adding jokingly, "[Like,] 'We have to save the state from Stephen Colbert!' Which I think is hilarious."

Because of his place in the polls, one may wonder whether citing legitimacy was the right angle. Either way, tonight should be interesting.

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Mark Penn on immigration reform

The video below is of Mark Penn, Chief Strategist to the Clinton campaign, in the spin room at Drexel University after last night's debate. Watch how he discusses comprehensive immigration reform with Lynn Sweet of the Chicago Sun-Times:

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Quick '08 Update

- Chris Cillizza from The Fix offered up his usual winners and losers from last night's debate. (Sadly, the candidates didn't touch on the PA state fossil. Nor did they touch on the offensive strategy of the Philadelphia Eagles, which is clearly a concern for the City of Brotherly Love.)

- At a news conference today, Sen. Pete Domenici defended Hillary Clinton's debate performance last night, saying that "it was all against you and you looked terrific."

- Former Mexican President Vicente Fox responded to a typically harsh quote from Congressman Tom Tancredo's website by saying, "He should not have a Spanish name."

- Today, AFSCME endorsed Senator Clinton and the New Hampshire affiliate of the SEIU endorsed John Edwards.

- The State offers a look at how many candidates will be spending time in South Carolina over the next few days.

- During an appearance on "The Tonight Show," Ron Paul told host Jay Leno that his campaign's been doing so well "that there's probably a risk I could win." Congressman Paul may be doing well, but apparently not well enough to best Stephen Colbert.

- In last night's debate, Governor Bill Richardson made a point to recognize Bill Barloon, one of two men whose release he negotiated with Saddam Hussein in 1995 when he was a Congressman. That hostage situation is the focus of a recent ad by Richardson - entitled "Only One" - that is definitely worth checking out.

- Greg Sargent from TPM Election Central highlights a direct mail piece from Sen. McCain's campaign. The heading: McCain: the only Conservative that can beat Senator Clinton. Not so says the Giuliani campaign, referring to a new Quinnipiac poll.

- Speaking of Senator McCain, check out his new ads - "Guts" and "Woodstock" - which touts his opposition to wasteful spending.

- The Huffington Post reports that the GOP candidates are rescheduling yet another minority debate. This time, they cite scheduling conflicts for why they won't be able to attend the Congressional Black Caucus Institute's debate that was slated for November 4th.

- Why CNN chose to analyze the dance moves of Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, and Hillary Clinton is beyond me. But it's Halloween so anything goes.

- As evidence for the aforementioned sentiment, here's a picture of Sen. Chuck Hagel dressed up as Joe Biden for President at this morning's Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing.

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

Unpublished
n/a

UPDATE: Brownback Out

The AP/CNN is saying that Senator Sam Brownback will be ending his bid for the presidency.

McCain employs new tools to reach out

This post is a follow-up to a prior post from April covering online advertisements in the 2008 campaign.

To show how new technologies are playing a role in the political process, Nielsen recently analyzed the web traffic of the presidential campaigns. A noteworthy part of its analysis is the McCain campaign's impressive online advertising campaign. From PC World:

While he only pulled in 58,000 unique Web visitors in August, Sen. John McCain's (R.-Ariz.) online advertising effort topped all other candidates. McCain had 4.3 million sponsored link impressions in August, followed by Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D.-Ohio) with 1.8 million sponsored links, Romney with 1.7 million and Clinton with 522,000, Nielsen/NetRatings reported.

4.3 million sponsored links?! That just goes to show the power of technology in maximizing your reach for a reasonable price. Of course, this is something we at the New Politics Institute have been discussing for quite some time.

Quick '08 Update

- Warning: you are reading this correctly. Tomorrow, Joe Biden and Sam Brownback (two Senators AND presidential candidates) will be hosting a forum on Iraq. They will discuss the Biden-Brownback amendment, which calls for a federal system that allows separate Sunni, Shiia and Kurdish states. (Read more about Biden's Iraq stance in the Boston Globe.)

- For conspiracy sake, be sure not to miss DraftGore.com, the group responsible for the full-page ad in the New York Times that asks Gore to run.

- If you haven't yet seen it, Chris Cillizza from The Fix gives a re-cap of the winners and losers of this week's GOP candidate debate in Michigan. Cillizza also ponders whether a main focal point of the debate - Hillary Clinton - will benefit or suffer from her opponents' remarks.

- Hillary Clinton - who recently said some noteworthy things to the Editorial Board of the Boston Globe - unveiled her innovation agenda yesterday. Be sure to check it out.

- Gov. Bill Richardson - who remains eager to move to third place in the Democratic field - delivered a speech in New Hampshire today on education policy, focusing particularly on No Child Left Behind. Before you check out the speech, jog your memory of Richardson's stance on NCLB with this video - one of his finer moments during the CNN-YouTube debate.

- According to an aide, Rudy Giuliani - who compared Mitt Romney to John Kerry - is like Bill Clinton.

- USA Today has an interesting article on the role of the candidates' children in the campaigns. Spinning off directly from that article, the Romney boys show that they are good sports by welcoming Meghan McCain to the Blogosphere.

- Check out this video of Chris Dodd discussing his plans to bring broadband to rural America. (Promotional shout out: Policies like these build off the great work of NDN friends like One Economy.)

- In a live discussion with the Washington Post, Senator Sam Brownback confirmed that he needs to place fourth in Iowa to continue his campaign. (Quick, semi-unrelated question: Why does Brownback need to make sure Tom Tancredo and others know that his mother is not an illegal immigrant?)

- Plenty of ads are on air: Hillary Clinton went up with a clever ad featuring Rob Reiner, John McCain is running a web ad, Rudy Giuliani is on air in Iowa, and Barack Obama is on air in New Hampshire.

- Today in Iowa, John McCain delivered his speech on Health Care. View more of his plan on his website. Note: this is the third speech McCain has given recently. Prior to this, he delivered speeches to the Detroit Economic Club and the Hispanic Business Expo.

- Joe Biden explained why South Carolinians should vote for him in a session with the Editorial Board of The State.

The Obama campaign documents the history of America's Energy Policy in the clever video below. It pits rhetoric against action and ends by saying that Obama will deliver on his energy policy:

For more information on NDN's coverage of the 2008 Presidential election, click here.

3 good reads for a Sunday morning

In the Post, PW Singer of Brookings does a good job making the case against Blackwater and the privatization of war. 

The Times has a story that further illustrates how much the Sunni-Shiite struggle for regional dominance in the Middle East is driving events there.

Tom Friedman makes a strong case for a new national commitment to invest in our aging infrastructure here at home.  NDN friend Robert Hormats is quoted extensively throughout the piece. 

Campaigns Must Do More Than Use MySpace and MTV to Capture Young Voters

Jane Fleming Kleeb is the Executive Director of the Young Voter Pac which helps Democratic candidates and State Parties win with the 18-35 year old vote through endorsements, on-the-ground support, training, strategy and money.

The 2008 Presidential cycle is here and candidates are increasingly competing for the youth vote. Rightfully so, young people voted in record numbers in the 2004 and 2006 elections and all signs point to 2008 being even bigger for the youth vote. It is not just hype or hope that young voters can swing an election; young people have proved they are voting at higher numbers and are now voting overwhelmingly for Democrats.

The question is what is it going to take to continue to get young people to the polls?

Recently, MTV and MySpace launched a new type of online discussion with candidates which will in theory reach young people in order to get them motivated to vote. Edwards is up first and his campaign thus far is doing exactly what they need to in order to capture the youth vote. They have a separate website for young voters, created an action arm with their One America and even John Edwards himself is on message when it comes to young voters when he said today "You hear all the time from political pundits that young people don’t care about politics – but it’s a lie. Young people all over the country care about America and are engaged in bringing change to their communities."

Too many campaigns get sidetracked and think there is a magic tactic or umbrella issue for capturing the youth vote. Right now that magic tactic seems to be new media tools including Facebook, MySpace, blog posts, text messages and online debates. None of these new media tools alone will get young people to the polls. Rather, what it takes to secure the youth vote is, interestingly enough, to treat them as serious constituents and target them as voters. It is not who is the most hip with the coolest MySpace page.

Young people are a sophisticated voting bloc and we now have the experience, research and best practices to know what works to turn them out to the polls. Most encouraging for Democratic campaigns, young people are now voting in record numbers, and favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. In 2004, for example, young people preferred Democrats by a 10% point margin; by 2006 that margin had grown to an impressive 22% points.

Even better news, young people are not only voting for Democrats, for the first time in several years they are also identifying as Democrats. Just a few years ago, young people were split evenly among Democrats, Republicans and Independents. Now, 43% of young people as saying they are Democrats, only 31% Republican and a shrinking 26% of young people are saying they are Independents.

Now, while it is true that young people, ages 18-35, do not yet vote at the same levels as older voters, we have found that it is not because they are lazy or apathetic. The real reason is much simpler—for years, most campaigns have ignored them as voters and in turn young people ignored voting. Instead, most young people turned to community service as a way to be involved in their communities and nation. The voting booth was simply not seen as a place to effect change and campaigns were not doing anything to change that mindset.

As with any constituency group, campaigns must contact young people at their doors and where they hangout if they want to engage them as voters. Campaigns should continue to use new media approaches such as participating in the MTV online dialogue. However, research and recent history both tell us that these tools alone will not actually get young people to the polls. Such techniques may excite or inform them about a given candidate but they will not, by themselves, secure the youth voting bloc necessary to win unless campaigns also engage them personally at their homes and hangouts.

In 2006 some successful youth voting outreach examples included Representative Patrick Murphy of Pennsylvania, Representative Harry Mitchell of Arizona and Senator John Tester of Montana. These campaigns had field plans that included young people, utilized new media outreach to broadcast their message, and partnered with youth groups who had experience in turning out young voters. And, as those campaigns testify, that increased voter turnout among young people was the margin in their victories.

While capturing the youth vote is not easy, it is doable if candidates target young voters, listen to them, talk with them about issues they care about and treat them like any other constituency group they are trying to secure in order to help them win. When campaigns do this, when they treat young people as voters in messaging and outreach both, young people reward their effort with their time, money and votes.

This is cross posted at http://www.youngvoterpac.org/blog/

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