Are We Headed Towards A Realigning Election?
The possibility grows each day. Tomorrow's CBS/Times poll will fuel a new round of speculation that we are witnessing the birth of a new political era, a once in a generation political realignment.
The Times poll has it - incredibly - 53-39 Obama. 14 points. In mid October. 5 points is a landslide in a Presidential race. New state polls show similar trends.
There has not been a Democrat ahead at this late stage of the election by this type of margin since at least 1964. And only 7 times in the last 50 elections have Democrats won 53 percent of more of the national vote (they received 53 percent last year).
Of course it could get much closer in the coming weeks but the trend is moving away from McCain now, not towards him.
Will McCain be able to perform tomorrow night given what he knows? Will we see a patriot or a partisan? Reaching across the aisle to get things done or William Ayers?
I know, I know. It will be about those earmarks. After all we've allocated to all those earmarks just one sixth of what President Bush has given to AIG in the last month alone.
Wed am Update - DemFromCT has more.
- Simon Rosenberg's blog
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