Latinos and the Emerging Electoral College Map
Tomorrow we will be releasing a new set of polls which take an indepth look at the public's views of the immgration debate in four key battleground states - CO, FL, NM and NV. In preparing for their release, one thing became clear to us at NDN - that of the final 10 or so states where the election will be fought, four states with 46 Electoral College votes have significant Hispanic populations.
Using the latest Real Clear Politics map as our guide, there are now 10 toss up states - CO, FL, IN, MI, NM, NV, OH, PA and VA. Gone are some of the Obama hopefuls - AK, GA, MO, MT, NC - which seem to be drifting back into the GOP camp. Of the remaining 10, they fall into three categories - the Industrial North (IN, MI, OH, PA), the heavily Hispanic (CO, FL, NM, NV) and the rest (NH, VA).
More than a third of the Electoral College votes still up for grabs run through heavily Hispanic territory. With this, one would expect a great deal more attention, more spending, more candidate time - and all the rest - on Hispanic voters and in these states this fall.
Check back around noon tomorrow for our report, and for more background on the growing power of the Hispanic vote in America. And if you are in town tomorrow, drop by our Poll Briefing at 10 a.m. at the NDN offices.
- Simon Rosenberg's blog
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