New NYTimes poll has Obama leading 54-38

Many new polls out today. A new CNN poll has Obama now up in Texas. Gallup and Rasmussen national daily tracks showed no real movement, and have the race close. A new Gallup/USA has Obama up more than 10. But 2 polls out in Ohio have Senator Clinton still up by 7-10 points. So the news today is mixed, some evidence of more Obama movement, other polls showing the race stabilizing.

But the real news tomorrow will be the new CBS/NYTimes poll out tonight that has the race now at 54%-38% Obama/Clinton. This is a dramatic shift. Given its source, will probably drive the news coverage of the race for the next few days. Clearly this is not good news for Senator Clinton as she heads into the must win states of Ohio and Texas.

The question is whether this poll is accurate, and is capturing a new and significant dynamic in the race. If it is real I fully expect national polls taken at the end of the next week to have Obama up by mid to high single digits over McCain, a very weak candidate by any historical measure.

Update: Catch the drama of the race, live, Tuesday night on MSNBC at 9pm as Obama and Clinton meet in Cleveland for their final debate prior to all the important March 4th vote.