New NDN Survey Shows Hispanics Increasing Their Support for Democrats

Publish Date: 
Friday, March 7, 2008

NDN is excited to release a new initial study of how the Hispanic vote has performed in the 2008 Presidential Primary elections.

The study has two key findings:

        -    Of those Hispanics who have voted this year in the Presidential nominating contents, 75%, 3 out of 4, have 
             voted Democratic. 

        -    The Hispanic share of the overall Democratic primary electorate has increased by almost 50 percent since the 
             2004 Democratic primaries.

These findings are consistent with recent trends in the Hispanic electorate.  From 2002 to 2006 the percentage of the electorate that was Hispanic increased 33 percent, from 6 % of the overall electorate in 2002 to 8% in 2006.  From 2004 to 2006 the Hispanic electorate went from 59% Democrat and 40% Republican to 70% Democrat 30%.  The 3:1 preference for Democrats this year indicates even further erosion of support for Republicans from their very poor showing in 2006.

NDN believes that the state by state data contained in this report is further evidence of how the Republican demonization of the Hispanic community these past 2 ½ years is causing the Hispanic electorate to become much more engaged in civic life and to become much more Democratic.

The collapse of the Republican brand in the Hispanic community is one of the most significant recent developments in American politics.  This collapse, which has continued this year even with John McCain on the ballot in these states, could have a major impact on the 5 general election battleground states with heavy Hispanic populations – AZ, CO, FL, NM and NV.

For more on the Hispanic vote in recent years, check out NDN’s recent report, Hispanics Rising. As always, feel free to e-mail us your thoughts or comment on our blog.