NDN Blog

Rob Shapiro: Candidates need to create economic narrative

In this short video, NDN Globalization Initiative Chair Dr. Robert J. Shapiro expands on his quote from John Heilemann's recent piece in New York Magazine on Barack Obama's economic argument, entitled "Econobamanomic Theory."

From the article:

Robert Shapiro, another veteran of the 1992 Clinton economic team and author of a new book on globalization, agrees. "The narrative is: The U.S. is way ahead in the global economy, but we need to make basic changes so that everyone can prosper," Shapiro says. "We need to get control of health-care and energy costs, because without it, American workers will never see rising wages-since the burden on businesses is otherwise too great." As for training, Shapiro has proposed giving grants to all the community colleges in the country to keep their computer labs open on nights and weekends so that anyone can show up and learn (for free) the skills they need to compete in a tech-centric economy. "We can do it for $125 million a year, and even if it costs twice that much, it would be worth it."

In the video, Dr. Shapiro discusses the necessity for Presidential candidates to explain the vast global changes that are affecting the economy and to provide real plans to make globalization work for all Americans. He argues that John McCain has created an unrealistic economic narrative focused on tax cuts for corportations, but that Senators Clinton and Obama must create a truly compelling one.

Take a look:


As Heilemann notes in his article, Obama has already adopted the NDN proposal that Dr. Shapiro mentions: providing free computer training for all Americans through the community college system.

For more of Dr. Shapiro's far-reaching work on the economy and globalization, check out:

If they have no bread/rice/corn...

Today’s lead story in the New York Times focuses on the global pandemic of rising food prices. The article, “Across Globe, Empty Bellies Bring Rising Anger,” discusses the political implications of the spike in global food prices.

Haiti’s hunger, that burn in the belly that so many here feel, has become fiercer than ever in recent days as global food prices spiral out of reach, spiking as much as 45 percent since the end of 2006 and turning Haitian staples like beans, corn and rice into closely guarded treasures.

“It’s the worst crisis of its kind in more than 30 years,” said Jeffrey D. Sachs,
the economist and special adviser to the United Nations secretary general, Ban
Ki-moon. “It’s a big deal and it’s obviously threatening a lot of governments.
There are a number of governments on the ropes, and I think there’s more
political fallout to come.”

Indeed, as it roils developing nations, the spike in commodity prices — the
biggest since the Nixon administration — has pitted the globe’s poorer south
against the relatively wealthy north, adding to demands for reform of rich
nations’ farm and environmental policies. But experts say there are few quick
fixes to a crisis tied to so many factors, from strong demand for food from
emerging economies like China’s to rising oil prices to the diversion of food
resources to make biofuels.

The crisis, which has lead to the ouster of Haiti’s Prime Minister, has the potential for dramatic political and social ramifications. Malaysia’s Prime Minister looks to be in political jeopardy, and leaders from Asia to Africa to Latin America are struggling both with how to feed their people and subdue the anger – in the form of riots and protests – directed toward them.

Just as many in the developing world were being lifted out of poverty and changing their diets for the better – no small development in the fight against poverty and disease – rising food prices have beat back much of that progress and driven others into far worse situations. The broad policy adjustments that will be needed to solve this problem will not be politically easy. Coupled with fuel price increases, which are having more of an effect in the developed world than food prices, there is no more important time than now for political leaders to create an adequate policy response to globalization.

Understanding the CleanTech Investment Opportunity

NDN's Green Project was in New York on Wednesday, with a very successful panel on investing in clean technology. Green Project Director Michael Moynihan told listeners that, "With oil at $115 a barrel and climate change unsolved, clean technology may be most important components of the 21st Century economy." Peter C. Fusaro, Chairman and Founder of Global Change Associates, best selling author of What Went Wrong at Enron, and perhaps the world’s leading expert on clean technology funds, offered that "the government has to create a stable policy environment for industry." Finally, well known analyst, David Kurzman, Senior Vice President of the Clean Technology Research Group at Panel Intelligence, LLC, said that the key to successfully investing in clean technology is to "follow the smart money."

Take a look at the excellent and informative video (complete with PowerPoints) from the event:

For more information on the Green Project, check out Michael's blogging on these important issues.

NYT: Fuel Choices, Food Crises and Finger-Pointing

An article from today's New York Times by Andrew Martin discusses the impact of ethanol and other biofuels on drastically rising food prices:

The idea of turning farms into fuel plants seemed, for a time, like one of the answers to high global oil prices and supply worries. That strategy seemed to reach a high point last year when Congress mandated a fivefold increase in the use of biofuels.

But now a reaction is building against policies in the United States and Europe to promote ethanol and similar fuels, with political leaders from poor countries contending that these fuels are driving up food prices and starving poor people. Biofuels are fast becoming a new flash point in global diplomacy, putting pressure on Western politicians to reconsider their policies, even as they argue that biofuels are only one factor in the seemingly inexorable rise in food prices.

In some countries, the higher prices are leading to riots, political instability and growing worries about feeding the poorest people. Food riots contributed to the dismissal of Haiti's prime minister last week, and leaders in some other countries are nervously trying to calm anxious consumers.

At a weekend conference in Washington, finance ministers and central bankers of seven leading industrial nations called for urgent action to deal with the price spikes, and several of them demanded a reconsideration of biofuel policies adopted recently in the West.

Many specialists in food policy consider government mandates for biofuels to be ill advised, agreeing that the diversion of crops like corn into fuel production has contributed to the higher prices. But other factors have played big roles, including droughts that have limited output and rapid global economic growth that has created higher demand for food.

That growth, much faster over the last four years than the historical norm, is lifting millions of people out of destitution and giving them access to better diets. But farmers are having trouble keeping up with the surge in demand.
...

C. Ford Runge, an economist at the University of Minnesota, said it is “extremely difficult to disentangle” the effect of biofuels on food costs. Nevertheless, he said there was little that could be done to mitigate the effect of droughts and the growing appetite for protein in developing countries.

“Ethanol is the one thing we can do something about,” he said. “It’s about the only lever we have to pull, but none of the politicians have the courage to pull the lever.”

But August Schumacher, a former under secretary of agriculture who is a consultant for the Kellogg Foundation, said the criticism of biofuels might be misdirected. Development agencies like the World Bank and many governments did little to support agricultural development in the last two decades, he said.

He noted that many of the upheavals over food prices abroad have concerned rice and wheat, neither of which is used as a biofuel. For both those crops, global demand has soared at the same time that droughts suppressed the output from farms.

The full article is worth reading, as it also covers the domestic American politics and the tough choices that policy makers will have to make on this issue. Green Project Director Michael Moynihan recently blogged on some technologies that have the potential to be game changers and touched on biofuels, writing:

In the area of portable fuels, biofuels made from switchgrass and other inedible plants grown on scrubland, holds promise. At a time when food prices are soaring and many countries are hoarding rice, wheat and corn, it makes no sense to devote America's heartland loam-some of the richest land in the world-to the production of corn-based ethanol. However, technologies to convert hard-to-break-down grasses grown on scrubland to fuel do make sense.

This is an issue that NDN's Globalization Initiative and Green Project have been watching and will continue to follow closely as the debate over American energy and climate policies unfolds in the coming months.

REMINDER: NDN's Green Project in NYC tomorrow - 12 p.m.

NDN has been talking about the great transformation underway in the United States and across the globe. One new challenge that poses great risks but also great opportunity is climate change. How the United States and the world adapt to this challenge may well define the Century. Indeed, with oil trading at over $110 per barrel, the clean technologies and policies implemented to create the post carbon economy may well represent the greatest business opportunity of the coming Century.

In Europe, a cap and trade system for carbon emissions has already created a multi billion dollar market in carbon credits. That market may soon expand to include the United States. On the technology front, the next generation of electric cars and other technologies such as carbon capture, solar power, wind power and bio fuels may prove transformative. Venture Capitalist John Doerr has called green technology the biggest investment opportunity of his lifetime, bigger even than the Internet. Al Gore says it’s vital to saving the planet. But is all the hype justified? Or is clean technology potentially another bubble?

Learn the answer to these important questions on Wednesday, April 16 in New York City, when NDN Green Project Director Michael Moynihan, hosts a panel with leading clean technology experts entitled “Understanding the Cleantech Investment Opportunity.” It will feature Peter C. Fusaro, Chairman and Founder of Global Change Associates, best selling author of What Went Wrong at Enron and perhaps the world’s leading expert on clean technology funds and well known analyst, David Kurzman, Senior Vice President of the Clean Technology Research Group at Panel Intelligence, LLC. The panel will get to the heart of the green technology issue from an investment perspective and discuss what policy approaches to climate change including cap and trade, a carbon tax, the solar tax credit, and other investment incentives.

NDN’s Green Project is working to answer these and other questions and develop a legislative, regulatory and advocacy framework to address climate change, move toward energy independence, and accelerate the development of new technologies to promote economic growth.

For background reading, check out Michael's original NDN paper on public investment in infrastructure and his recent blogging on green issues.

Event Details:
Wednesday, April 16th
12:00pm
Regency Hotel, Regency Room
540 Park Avenue
New York, NY
Click here to RSVP

Rob Shapiro on the globalization of capital

In this short video, Dr. Rob Shapiro, Chair of NDN's Globalization Initiative, says that in order to understand what is going on with the American economy, we must first understand the role of globalization, particularly the globalization of the capital pool.

Take a look:


For more of Rob's far-reaching work on the economy and globalization, check out:

NDN's Green Project in NYC - April 16; 12:00pm

NDN has been talking about the great transformation underway in the United States and across the globe. One new challenge that poses great risks but also great opportunity is climate change. How the United States and the world adapt to this challenge may well define the Century. Indeed, with oil trading at over $110 per barrel, the clean technologies and policies implemented to create the post carbon economy may well represent the greatest business opportunity of the coming Century.

In Europe, a cap and trade system for carbon emissions has already created a multi billion dollar market in carbon credits. That market may soon expand to include the United States. On the technology front, the next generation of electric cars and other technologies such as carbon capture, solar power, wind power and bio fuels may prove transformative. Venture Capitalist John Doerr has called green technology the biggest investment opportunity of his lifetime, bigger even than the Internet. Al Gore says it’s vital to saving the planet. But is all the hype justified? Or is clean technology potentially another bubble?

Learn the answer to these important questions on Wednesday, April 16 in New York City, when NDN Green Project Director Michael Moynihan, hosts a panel with leading clean technology experts entitled “Understanding the Cleantech Investment Opportunity.” It will feature Peter C. Fusaro, Chairman and Founder of Global Change Associates, best selling author of What Went Wrong at Enron and perhaps the world’s leading expert on clean technology funds and well known analyst, David Kurzman, Senior Vice President of the Clean Technology Research Group at Panel Intelligence, LLC. The panel will get to the heart of the green technology issue from an investment perspective and discuss what policy approaches to climate change including cap and trade, a carbon tax, tax, the solar tax credit and other investment incentives.

NDN’s Green Project is working to answer these and other questions and develop a legislative, regulatory and advocacy framework to address climate change, move toward energy independence, and accelerate the development of new technologies to promote economic growth.

For background reading, check out Michael's original NDN paper on public investment in infrastructure and his recent blogging on green issues.

Event Details:
Wednesday, April 16th
12:00pm
Regency Hotel, Regency Room
540 Park Avenue
New York, NY
Click here to RSVP

Senate Majority Leader Reid on the Colombia Free Trade Agreement

Statement from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on the Colombia Free Trade Agreement:

April 7, 2008

Reid: President's Colombia Free Trade Proposal A Continuation Of Failed Policies

Washington, DC—Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid made the following statement today in response to President Bush’s proposed Colombia Free Trade Agreement:

“President Bush has made numerous bad decisions during his Administration that have already cost countless American workers their jobs and have done profound harm to U.S. foreign policy – harm that will take years for the next President to undo. By sending up the Colombia FTA legislation under circumstances that maximize the chances it will fail, he will be adding one more mistake to his legacy and one more mess for the next President to clean up.

“There is strong support for Colombia in the U.S. Congress, evidenced by the fact that Colombia is the largest recipient of U.S. aid money in the hemisphere. Many in Congress have tremendous respect for the progress that President Uribe has been able to make under difficult circumstances. It is a major mistake, however, to set up the Colombia FTA legislation as the proxy for support for Colombia, as the Bush Administration is trying to do.

“An FTA is not a foreign-aid package. It is neither a favor for friendly governments, nor a substitute for sensible and sustained foreign-policy engagement in the hemisphere. An FTA is an essentially permanent economic integration agreement. Many Democrats continue to have serious concerns about an agreement that creates the highest level of economic integration with a country where workers and their families are routinely murdered and subjected to violence and intimidation for seeking to exercise their most basic economic rights. And the perpetrators of the violence have near total impunity.

“The Government of Colombia has undoubtedly made progress on this front, but the level of violence against trade unionists is still the worst in the world. Further, as Rep. George Miller has said, serious questions need to be addressed about the Government of Colombia’s sustained commitment to this effort. By sending up the FTA before these concerns have been fully addressed, President Bush is significantly undercutting support for the FTA.

“Further, the President’s decision to act unilaterally in sending the FTA disregards three decades of established precedent under fast-track legislation, and demonstrates yet again his lack of respect for Congress. The Colombia FTA will have enough problems purely on its merits; President Bush will exacerbate those problems by sending up the FTA in this manner. And by thumbing his nose at the basic processes that underlie Congress’ willingness to extend fast-track authority to a President, President Bush is dealing a serious blow to U.S. trade policy for years to come.

“If President Bush really believes that successful passage of the Colombia FTA is critical for U.S. foreign policy in Latin America, it is difficult to understand why he would send the FTA up under circumstances of his own creation that maximize the controversy associated with it. While it is understandable that a lame-duck Administration wants to notch accomplishments in its final year in office, I am very concerned that this short-term focus will leave long-term problems for U.S. foreign policy and U.S. trade policy.”

Gore Looks to New Tools to Solve Climate Crisis

By now, Al Gore's work on Climate Change is well known. He has won an Oscar and the Nobel Peace Prize. But Gore isn't satisfied. He has launched a $300 million campaign with the aim of influencing both policy makers and ordinary Americans to solve this problem.

From today's Washington Post:

The Alliance for Climate Protection's "we" campaign will employ online organizing and television advertisements on shows ranging from "American Idol" to "The Daily Show with Jon Stewart." It highlights the extent to which Americans' growing awareness of global warming has yet to translate into national policy changes, Gore said in an hour-long phone interview last week. He said the campaign, which Gore is helping to fund, was undertaken in large part because of his fear that U.S. lawmakers are unwilling to curb the human-generated emissions linked to climate change.

"This climate crisis is so interwoven with habits and patterns that are so entrenched, the elected officials in both parties are going to be timid about enacting the bold changes that are needed until there is a change in the public's sense of urgency in addressing this crisis," Gore said. "I've tried everything else I know to try. The way to solve this crisis is to change the way the public thinks about it."
...

While "An Inconvenient Truth" urged viewers to fully inflate their car tires and to install compact fluorescent light bulbs to combat global warming, Gore said he is now focused on ensuring that the United States enacts a national carbon emission cap and ratifies a new global pact on climate change in the next three years.

"The simple algorithm is this: It's important to change the light bulbs, but it's much more important to change the laws," he said. "The options available to civilization worldwide to avert this terribly destructive pattern are beginning to slip away from us. The path for recovery runs right through Washington, D.C."


Gore also appeared on 60 Minutes last night to discuss his campaign.

NDN’s Green Project is working on this very issue, and we are excited about the ongoing work by Al Gore and the Alliance for Climate Protection. NDN's Green Project will serve as a bridge between key stakeholders such as the new clean technology community and public leaders as we build a post-carbon economy.

Gore’s campaign, which aims to enlist 10 million Americans to solve this problem, will be using a set of New Tools that NDN has been advocating.

In an effort to penetrate Americans' consciousness and change lawmakers' political calculus, the group aims to enlist 10 million volunteers through a combination of network and cable commercials, display ads in magazines ranging from People to Real Simple, and online social networks. By contrast, the civil rights and antiwar movements in the 1960s each boasted about 5 million activists.

Cathy Zoi, the Alliance for Climate Protection's chief executive, said the group will focus on individuals known in the advertising world as "influencers" who talk to a disproportionate number of people in their communities. While some ads will target inside-the-Beltway policymakers, the bulk of their efforts will focus on the general public.

"This is modern organizing," Zoi said, adding that the campaign aims to convince voters that "this is a solvable problem."

 

Check out the first ad from Gore’s We Campaign.

Time's Halperin sees something missing on the economy

Time's Mark Halperin writes that something is missing when the three presidential candidates talk about the economy. He argues that the candidates need to get a lot better at talking about the American economy and outlines 17 points that the candidates lack in their rhetoric. Here are some highlights:

3. A grand overarching narrative that frames/makes sense of the changes whipping through the American and the global economies.

4. A firm grip on BOTH the promise AND the perils of the transformations whipping through the 21st century economy like a Bengali typhoon.

7. Ideas on how to address everything plaguing the economy-from unemployment to outsourcing to the weak dollar - ideas that don't sound like they're recycled from the file cabinets of Arthur Laffer/Jack Kemp/Bob Rubin/Gene Sperling (in other words: new ideas).

8. A compelling explanation of where the jobs of the future are going to come from.

17. Really big policy ideas that could serve as data points or ways to animate whatever their big idea vision would be - and a capacity to drive an economic idea on an ongoing basis for a week or so.

NDN's Globalization Initiative has been discussing these economic changes for years. We have produced innovative proposals that both call for a comprehensive economic strategy to make globalization work for all Americans and include specific policy recommendations on how to do so. Rob Shapiro, Chair of the Globalization Initiative, recently laid out these arguments in his paper: The New Landscape of Globalization. Simon has also recently blogged on these issues, illustrating the disastrous policies of the Bush Administration and pointing to NDN's creative fixes.

At NDN, we agree with Mark Halperin that America needs to address this new period of economic development, and we are pleased to see the national media discussing globalization in this manner. The presidential candidates would be wise to acknowledge that globalization is here to stay. And, while John McCain has admitted to not having a fantastic grasp of economics, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have a unique opportunity to lay out a governing agenda on the top issue in the minds of American voters and to speak honestly about the direction of the global economy in which we live. Both are slated to give major addresses on the economy tomorrow; we will be watching closely.

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