NDN Blog

Video: Gretchen Barton On What's She's Heard Listening to the American People (4/12/22)

This was a great event, truly.  Hope you will watch.

On April 12th, 2022 we sat down with Gretchen Barton, a public opinion researcher who uses deep listening techniques – long interviews, multiday engagements, and use of visual imagery and multimedia - to understand the deep-rooted thoughts and feelings of Americans.  She has spent the last year listening daily to the American people about their lives, their struggles, their hopes, and their fears to find opportunities for better connecting with and engaging Americans.  She has taken all of this work and combined it with some more traditional polling from Future Majority and created a presentation about what’s she learned and what it means for center-left politics this year.  

We strongly encourage everyone to watch this presentation and our discussion afterwards.  Gretchen and Future Majority's work has heavily influenced our thinking about where are we right now, and what we need to do – and we are certain it will influence yours, too.  Future Majortiy released a companion memo to Gretchen's deck - read it here

More on Gretchen - Gretchen Barton is the Research Director for Future Majority, Principal at Worthy Strategy Group, LLC, and former policy lead at the Harvard-founded research firm, Olson Zaltman. With a special interest in the psychology underpinning behavior change, Gretchen has designed and delivered a number of initiatives in the policy space, including studies around poverty in America for the Gates Foundation and Gender Justice for Story-at-Scale. Her research over the years has spanned hazing behavior and how to stop it, trauma, cults, and tribalism. She has led research and served as a behavioral science strategist for major organizations and campaigns (e.g. NextGen, New Moral Majority, Ideas 42, Way to Win, and others), uncovering key messaging insights to turn out the youth vote, revealing voters’ deepest hopes and dreams for presidential campaigns, and uncovering deep insights in real-time to key organizers in the build-up to the 2020 election with the Yellow Brick Road study.  She recently completed metaphor elicitation studies of American swing-state voters across the nation and in Pennsylvania, Texas, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Rural Wisconsin/Iowa/Minnesota, and Virginia, along with a deep dive into how Americans know what’s true.

Gretchen holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Communications and Planning Campaigns with distinction in research from Cornell University. She has written for the Journal of College Student Development and the American Journal of Health Behavior, and co-authored, Prevalence and Profiling: Hazing Among College Students and Points of Intervention. She recently co-authored “The Science of Winning with Stories: Using Agency, Urgency, and Community,” a reflection on the most effective messaging to engage and move a populace.

Biden Begins A Necessary Conversation With Voters About the US Economy

The President’s budget always tries to do many things, but one thing the White House made clear yesterday was they were intending to have a far more serious conversation with the American people about the economy than we’ve had in recent months.  

As we all know by now poll after poll show the American people do not understand that the steps the government took in 2021 to hasten an economic recovery worked, and that in 2021 the American economy put in one of its best performances in history.  GDP growth came in close to 6%, the unemployment rate plummeted, millions gained health insurance, stocks and home prices soared, more new businesses were started than any year in US history, the annual deficit came down by hundreds of billions of dollars and real wages rose, most significantly for those in the bottom 25% of wage earners.  Most Americans were better off at the end of 2021, and many were much much better off.  We are experiencing, literally, a Biden Boom, one which has continued into 2022.  

Why don’t people understand what has happened with the economy over the past year or so? This is an area of vigorous debate, one which we have weighed in on pretty heavily in recent months.  And it speaks to a much bigger political challenge for Democrats, something we have called the most important least understood story in American politics today – that since the Cold War ended and a new global economic age began when Democrats were in charge the economy grew, stock markets boomed, wages and incomes went up and deficits fell (Clinton even got us to an annual surplus); and when Republicans have been in power we’ve had three consecutive recessions and exploding deficits.  Dems have done a good job, repeatedly; while Rs have failed to do their part, repeatedly. 

The contrast in the economy’s performance under the two parties, and two very different economic approaches, is perhaps best summed up in net jobs produced during this time.  In 17 years of Clinton Obama and Biden 41 million net new jobs were created.  Under 16 years of Bush, Bush, and Trump 2 million net new jobs were created.  Same time in the White House.  20 times more jobs with Democrats.  95% of all net new jobs created since 1989 have come under Democrats – 95%!  Yet Republicans today are more trusted on the economy than Democrats, despite have brought actual economic carnage over three consecutive Presidencies over decades.   

More illustrative stats: 

·      41m of the 43m jobs created since 1989 have come under Democratic Presidents – 95%. 19 out of every 20 new jobs created in America over the past 33 years have come under Democratic Presidents. 

·      3 times as many jobs were created in Biden’s first year in office than were created under the last 3 GOP Presidents, combined. 

·      The economy has produced more than 500,000 new jobs per month under Biden.  Under the last 3 GOP Presidents it was 9,700 jobs per month.  Yes, less than 10,000 per month over 16 years. 

·      All three GOP President saw dramatic expansions of the annual federal deficit on their watch.  Trump may have seen the largest peacetime expansion of the deficit in US history.  All three Dem Presidents saw a dramatic decline in the annual deficit on their watch, with Clinton getting us to a sustained period of surplus.  

And to be clear, the economy just didn’t perform better under Democrats.  The last two Republican Presidents have some of the worst economic track records of any Presidents in American history.  

There really is no easy explanation for how voters don’t understand this basic reality, a sky is blue kind of reality.  But what should be obvious to all Democratic leaders now is that helping voters understand just how much better the economy – and America – does under Democrats should become a ferocious and well-funded party wide effort in the months and years to come.  

By making “deficit reduction” the top priority in selling his new budget, Joe Biden joined this debate, with intensity.  For he began chipping away at this remarkable myth that Republicans have been good stewards of the economy or fiscally responsible, when we know from data the exact oppositive has been true.  It is a very welcome development, one which the team here at NDN enthusiastically supports.  Let the big conversation about the US economy now begin, in earnest. The American people, and the Democratic Party, will be better for it.  

Additional Resources

Mr Biden, Your Good Economy Won’t Sell Itself” – On Selling the Biden Boom

Report: The Biden Boom Keeps Booming and 41m Dem Jobs

Memo: Dems Need To Focus On Winning The Economic Argument

With Democrats Things Get Better – come watch our 30 minute data-filled presentation about how much better the economy does under Democrats.

Video: Tomicah Tillemann on Web3, Blockchain and Cryptocurrency (4/19/22)

Our discussion with Tomicah Tillemann on web3, blockchain and crytpocurrency was among the more interesting public conversations we've had in some time.  We encourage you to watch/listen, and learn more about this really important emergent space from a critical thought leader.  I learned a lot and am sure you will too.  You can watch or download the video here.

As additional background be sure to review Tomicah’s recent essay about President Biden’s new executive order, “A Turning Point for Web3, and Perhaps, Democracy.”  The essay begins with this paragraph:

“Today’s Executive Order on digital asset policy represents a landmark for the web3 community. It signals a long-term commitment by the White House to support innovation and American leadership in the space, and — at a moment when democracies are facing unprecedented challenges — it moves web3 closer to realizing its potential as the next generation of a more open, democratized, decentralized internet. It also marks the culmination of an extraordinary amount of work.”

You can stay in touch with Tomicah's work by following him on Twitter, @TomicahTD.  

About Tomicah - Tomicah Tillemann is the Global Chief Policy Officer at Katie Haun's new firm.  Previously, Tomicah was a partner and Global Head of Policy for the crypto team at Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), where he builds public policy architecture to support the next generation of the internet. Tomicah served as Senior Advisor to two secretaries of state, leading a team of experts that built 20 major initiatives in 55 countries. He joined the State Department in 2009 as Hillary Clinton's speechwriter and spent four years on the staff of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee working with Joe Biden, Barack Obama, and John Kerry.

Tomicah also served as the Executive Director of the Digital Impact and Governance Initiative at New America, where he led programs to address social impact, finance, and governance challenges worldwide. He authored extensive research on how to harness frontier technologies to strengthen democratic institutions, and launched successful efforts to use decentralized platforms to combat public corruption, increase government efficiency, and promote private sector accountability. He helped deploy the world's first decentralized land registry and managed development of open source technology platforms for city, state, and federal agencies in the U.S.

Tomicah is a co-holder of four patents. He received his B.A. magna cum laude from Yale University and holds a Ph.D. with distinction from the School for Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University.

Video: DOE's Jigar Shah on Financing the Energy Transition (4/1/22)

On Friday April 1st we were excited to host Jigar Shah, Director of the Loans Program Office of the Department of Energy, for a spirited discussion of the dramatic progress America is making in accelerating a desperately needed clean energy revolution.  It was a very uplifting conversation, and will leave our viewers hopeful that good ole fashioned ingenuity is going to make a real difference in the coming years in our global efforts to counter climate change.   

Jigar went in depth in how DOE’s Loan Programs Office (LPO) supports building a bridge to bankability for scale up of innovative technologies, and the role DOE's uniquely American approach to commercialization plays in helping America meet the President’s ambitious energy transition and climate goals. Finally, he touched on how DOE and the private sector can work together to best leverage tools to unlock trillion dollars in the energy sector.

You can download and listen to or watch our discussion here.  This was one of our most interesting and important conversations in the Biden era.  Hope you will check it out and if you found it helpful, share it with others. 

More on the DOE Loans Program Office - The Loan Programs office is on the front lines of financing tech innovation here critical to accelerating the energy revolution the US and the world so desperately needs. To date, the Loan Programs Office has issued more than $35 billion of loans and loan guarantees for more 30 projects and has a proven track record including transforming existing energy infrastructure, reviving nuclear construction, accelerating growth of utility-scale solar and wind, expanding domestic manufacturing of electric vehicles, and improving the lives of all Americans by catalyzing new energy technology and creating jobs. Read more about LPO's History, Portfolio, and Technology Sectors it has supported. 

More on Jigar - Jigar Shah was most recently co-founder and President at Generate Capital, where he focused on helping entrepreneurs accelerate decarbonization solutions through the use of low-cost infrastructure-as-a service financing. Prior to Generate Capital, Shah founded SunEdison, a company that pioneered “pay as you save” solar financing. After SunEdison, Shah served as the founding CEO of the Carbon War Room, a global non-profit founded by Sir Richard Branson and Virgin Unite to help entrepreneurs address climate change. Originally from Illinois, Shah holds a B.S. from the University of Illinois-UC and an MBA from the University of Maryland College Park.

Analysis: Biden Approval Rising, Cong Generic Turns Positive for Dems

Analysis: Biden’s Approval Rising, Congressional Generic Turns Positive for Dems

5 new polls out this week show a meaningful improvement in Joe Biden’s approval rating from polls taken by these same organizations in mid-February:  

Marist                          47-51 (-4) from 40-55 (-15)   11 pt shift

Economist/YouGov     45-49 (-4) from 41-55 (-14)    10 pt shift

Trafalgar Group          42-52 (-10) from 39-58 (-19)    9 pt shift (GOP poll)

Quinnipiac                  40-51 (-11) from 37-56 (-19)     8 pt shift

Morning Consult         45-51 (-6) from 44-54 (-10)      4 pt shift

Navigator/GSG           45-53 (-8) from 43-55 (-12)      4 pt shift

Over the past few weeks every poll which tracks the Congressional Generic (will you vote Dem or GOP for Congress?) has shown Democrats ahead, after a period where Republicans had held a slight lead.  Remarkably, and perhaps ominously for the Republicans, the Rs are not above 41% in the six most recent polls.  

A few thoughts on this data: 

Things are better - The national political landscape is clearly more favorable for the Democrats today than it was a month ago. What’s caused it? COVID receding, continued strong economy, a well-received State of the Union, strong management of Russia’s aggression have all surely contributed to a positive stretch for Democrats.  As we often say, Biden has been a good President, and at some point there was going to be a correction.  We are on the other side of COVID, the economy continues to boom, we did pass a landmark infrastructure bill which has begun rolling out across the country, he has done a good job managing Russia/Ukraine and revitalizing the West.  Things are better in America, and perhaps the easing of COVID is allowing people to be more open now to the real progress we’ve made as a nation.  

What about inflation? This data is a bit problematic for those who’ve been arguing Biden’s approval has been held down primarily due to inflation.  Over the past month as his numbers have risen inflation has been higher than it’s ever been.  This means there are other things more important to voters than inflation – like COVID, a strong recovery, mobilizing against Putin for example.  It’s not that inflation isn’t important, it is of course.  But as we’ve been writing for months the role of inflation in our politics has been exaggerated, or at least is, for the voters open to Democrats, a secondary not a primary concern.   If inflation was as important as many say it is Biden/Dem numbers should not be rising at a time when inflation is also rising.   

Running the new Navigator data through our modeled Dem electorate (see here for an explanation of this model), inflation ranks 5th as an issue of concern right now: 

Jobs/Economy       51%

Nat Sec/Ukraine    47%

COVID                   37%

Climate                  34%

Inflation                  33%

Health Care           31%

From today’s Navigator report: “Since President Biden’s State of the Union address and update on the state of the coronavirus pandemic, Americans are increasingly positive about his handling of it. President Biden’s handling of the pandemic is net +7 (52 percent approve – 45 percent disapprove), an 8-point positive swing since our last survey in late February (net -1; 48 percent approve – 49 percent disapprove). This shift is largely driven by Independents who have swung from net -22 to net -2; approval of Biden’s handling of the pandemic is highest among Democrats (83 percent), Black Americans (74 percent), and Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders (73 percent). Additionally, trust in Biden and Democrats to combat the pandemic more than Republicans saw a similar net +7 uptick (up to an 18-point advantage from 11 points two weeks ago), and by a 42-point margin, Americans approve of the vaccine rollout in the United States (67 percent approved – 25 percent disapprove), the highest rating in our tracking since late November.”

It's been our contention for some time that the drop in the President’s approval of his handling of COVID (30 pts from May of 2021 to Feb of 2022) on the most important issue for Democratic voters was the primary thing driving down his overall approval rating.  This new data appears to confirm this, and suggests Democrats need to stay vigilant and do everything they can to prevent a return of COVID this year.  

Obviously, Putin’s war makes it likely that inflation may be with us this year for longer than economists had anticipated.  But we need to be clear that from now on the inflation that comes is due to Putin, and that our job is to keep the boom booming, wages rising while working to end the war and get global food and energy prices back to normal levels. Democratic voters, as our saliency table above shows, also expect us to be leading on climate and decarbonization, something the President has hit very hard this week. This is the moment to pass the rest of the Biden climate agenda, and help give America true energy independence by embracing a cleaner, cheaper, and far less geopolitically dangerous energy future.  

We need to keep selling the Biden Boom - It should be noted that this week’s Navigator while finding improvement for Biden on COVID and his overall approval rating, still finds significant underperformance for him on an array of economic issues, despite an ongoing boom.  Most alarming continues to be the lack of understanding that a boom is happening, reminding us again that we have work to do to make sure the electorate is aware of just how successful Biden’s economic stewardship has been.  

The following Navigator chart should be sitting on the desk of every Democratic operative.  For what it shows that even Democratic voters do not understand the economy was better in 2021 than 2020.  And that my friends is a political communication failure, one which can and must be addressed in the months ahead.  


A Moment of Fragile Promise

A Moment of Fragile Promise – The last few years have been hard in America.  They have been hard.   

But as warmer days are now arriving, there is all of a sudden much to be hopeful about.  COVID is truly receding here in the US, and we have more powerful tools to fight any future variant.  Our economy just had one of its strongest years on record.  New data shows that even with inflation Americans came out ahead last year A record number of new businesses were formed last year.  Millions have gained health insurance.  Transformative infrastructure investment has begun across the country.  Important climate and competitiveness bills are winding their way through Congress, as are other important efforts to invest in our people (see here for data, backup).  

Here at home, after a few very hard years, things are getting better. In some ways, remarkably so.  

And while Putin’s attack on Ukraine is tragic and terrifying, we also must acknowledge that something truly important has happened in this past week – the West has been reinvigorated, and a necessary and profound reckoning with Putin, autocracy and kleptocracy has begun. 

It has long been our view that the central opportunity of the Biden Presidency was to lead such a revival of the West, and to organize a new effort to roll back the gains illiberalism had made here at home and across the world.  We are there now, inspired by the historic bravery of President Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian people, and there is no turning back for Joe Biden, the US or Europe.  A decisive blow against Putin’s rancid regime is being struck, and we need to give the President and his able team the time, space and resources to finish the job.  

We have scheduled two events this week to talk about these momentous and hopeful developments. Tomorrow at 1pm ET, we host noted historian David Rothkopf for what will be a timely discussion about Ukraine and what it means for the US and the West (RSVP). On Friday at 12:30pm ET we will be doing a live showing of our presentation, With Democrats Things Get Better, which reviews how much better the American economy does when Democrats are the in the White House (yes, with Biden too).  You can RSVP for With Dems here.

Join us for either event, or both.  Come spend time with us this week as we attempt to live in the fragile promise of this hopeful moment.  For we here at NDN are tired of the poisonous and misplaced pessimism that has infected our politics in the dark age of Trump, and intend to do our part in helping America learn how to ignore the voices who continue to talk down this remarkable country and its even more remarkable people.  

Video: NDN Talks To David Rothkopf About Ukraine (3/1/22)

On Tuesday, March 1st noted author, historian and commentator David Rothkopf joined us for a compelling, indepth discussion about Russia's attack on Ukraine, and what it means for both US foreign and domestic policy.  You can watch and/or listen to the discussion here.

More on David - David Rothkopf is CEO of The Rothkopf Group, a media company that produces podcasts including Deep State Radio, hosted by Rothkopf. He was a senior official in the Clinton Administration, and author of many books including Running the World: The Inside Story of the National Security Council and the Architects of American Power, Superclass, Power, Inc., National Insecurity, Great Questions of Tomorrow, and Traitor: A History of Betraying America from Benedict Arnold to Donald Trump.

“Mr Biden, Your Good Economy Won’t Sell Itself” – On Selling the Biden Boom

On Wednesday Feb 16th Greg Sargent of the Washington Post wrote about new polling from Navigator Research that found when voters are exposed to data about how much the economy has improved they become much more positive about the economy itself and importantly for 2022 Joe Biden’s handling of it.  Simon is quoted extensively in the piece. On Friday the 18th Paul Krugman cited this same research and Greg’s terrific piece in a new op-ed column, “Mr. Biden, Your Good Economy Won’t Sell Itself.”  On Saturday Amy Walter of the Cook Report took an indepth look at this data and discussion in an article called "the Empathy Factor."  In the piece she writes:

Democrats like NDN's Simon Rosenberg urge the president to acknowledge the challenges the country has been through over the past couple of years and "to make the grit, resilience, ingenuity, can do spirit of the American people the hero of our story in 2022."

But, Rosenberg also wants to see Democrats selling their successes. "As the incumbent party, Democrats will be judged this fall largely on whether voters think we've done a good job, that things are better. Things are better, and we should spend the next 10 months relentlessly making the case that they are."  

In a slide deck released this week, the Democratic research organization, Navigator, made a similar argument. When voters are presented with the tangible economic gains made during the Biden era (such as "more than 6 million jobs created last year,"), the presentation shows, opinions about the state of the economy improve. 

For some time now NDN has been making the case that the repeated strong performance of the US economy under Democrats, and repeated poor even disastrous performance of the economy under Republicans, was one of the most important least understood stories in American politics today. 

The economic boom we’ve seen in Biden’s first year in office – after yet another Republican recession – affirms this decades long trend.  As you can learn listening and reading Rob Shapiro below, 2021, despite the adversity of COVID, was one of the best years for the US economy in the post war era: 5.7% GDP growth, 6m new jobs, 20% gains in equities and housing, more new business formed than any year in American history, 5m people gained health insurance, huge drops in poverty.  Yes, inflation was higher than anticipated, but with real wages for the bottom 50% of workers (and perhaps all as Krugman suggests) rising, and huge gains in real estate and the stock market, an overwhelming majority of Americans came out ahead in 2021.  Many millions of Americans came out way way ahead.   

In other words, 2021 was, as Rob and others called it, a true Biden Boom. 

The story we’ve been telling for the past few years in our data-filled presentationWith Democrats Things Get Better, is a simple one – when Democrats have been in power, we’ve seen growth, huge gains in wealth and incomes, progress.  With Republicans we’ve seen recessions, people falling behind, American decline.  The contrast is very stark, and from a political perspective, we’ve come to believe that establishing this essential contrast has become perhaps the Democratic Party’s highest political communications priority in the coming months. 

You will find below some resources to dive deeper into this important conversation and political project.  We end with the a few stats we keep returning to which tell the story that needs to be told: 

·      Of the 42m jobs created in America since 1989, when a new age of globalization began, 40m – 95% - have been created under Democratic Presidents. 

·      3 times as many jobs have been created in Biden’s first year in office as were created under the last 3 GOP Presidents combined.  

·      550,000 jobs have been created per month under Joe Biden.  Under Clinton and Obama it was 176,000 per month.  Under the two Bushes and Trump it was 9,600 jobs per month.  9,600!!!!!!  The rate of job growth under Joe Biden has been more than 50 times the rate of growth under the last GOP Presidencies over their 16 years. 

Finally, on inflation, it is a bit hard to understand why, given the GOP’s repeated tanking of the US economy, commentators and reporters would take their economic arguments seriously. We believe there is a strong case that the impact of inflation on the economy and workers is being both economically and politically oversold right now – which is another reason why we think Dems need to be more aggressive about talking about how much better things are, and spending less time reinforcing the central GOP attack line against the President.  

Key Resources

Note to Reporters: Americans Are Better Off Even After Inflation - Rob Shapiro, Washington Monthly - Rob does a deep dive on some new economic data and finds that even after inflation a majority of Americans were better off in 2021. 

Simon’s Interview with Greg Sargent in the Washington Post – An in-depth discussion about the need and opportunity for Democrats to win the economic argument this year.  This article looks at new polling data released this week which suggests Dems can win the economic argument if they lean into it – as NDN has been arguing.  

NDN Interview with Rob Shapiro on the Biden Boom – Catch our discussion with noted economist Rob Shapiro, where Rob reviews his two recent articles in the Washington Monthly on the Biden Boom.  Includes a link to Rob’s highly influential articles. 

Memo: Dems Need To Focus On Winning The Economic Argument – Despite decades of strong economic stewardship, Ds trail Rs on perceptions of who can best manage the economy.  It is our belief that closing that gap, and even getting ahead of Republicans on this vital measure is now the highest political priority for Dems in the coming months. 

Report: Biden Boom Continues, 3 Times As Many Biden Jobs Than Last 3 GOP Presidents Combined - More jobs have been created in Joe Biden's first year than in Presidencies of the two Bushes and Trump combined.  Repeated Dem successes, repeated GOP failures must become better known in our politics. 

NDN's Saliency Index, 4th Edition- COVID, Economy Top Issues, Inflation Secondary For Dems - In the 4th edition of our new Saliency Index, we find the top issues for voters in the Democratic electorate to be COVID, jobs and the economy, health care and climate.  In this analysis we offer a lengthy explanation for why the data here continues to suggest that inflation remains a secondary concern for voters in the Democratic electorate. 

With Democrats Things Get Better (2/11/22) – Catch the latest version of the presentation that launched this conversation for NDN.  It is a data-filled deep dive on what has happened in America since the Cold War ended and a new age of globalization began.  What it shows is that things have repeatedly gotten better under Democrats, with Republicans, not so much.  

Memo: New Warnock Ad and Getting Us Through To The Other Side - In a new memo Simon argues that Democrats need to ground their politics now in COVID and the recovery, and work tirelessly to get their voters to the other side.  A new ad by Senator Warnock is a great example of the kind of strategy we are advocating for.

40m of 42m New Jobs Since 1989 - 95% - Have Come Under Dem Presidents - In some of our recent work we've come across a stat we just can't stop looking at - since 1989, and a new age of globalization began, America has seen 42m new net new jobs created.  40m of those have come under the last 3 Dem Presidents - 95%. 

Ending 2021 on A High Note – America’s Can Do Spirit Is Alive and Well - While 2021 was clearly a challenging year for the US, data now makes clear that despite adversity the American people reached deep, found a higher gear, worked their asses off and helped bring about one of the best economies we've seen in years. 

Press and Pods

You can catch Simon discussing the need for Democrats to lean into their successes in a few recent podcasts and television shows: Deep State RadioPoliticologyThat Trippi Show and Steve Clemons’ The Bottom Line

This big argument has also been featured in articles in the AtlanticBoston GlobeCNN, Daily Beast (here and here), the LA TimesUSA Today and Washington Post.  

Writing in The Daily Beast about our With Dems presentation Mike Tomasky said this

“Simon Rosenberg heads NDN, a liberal think tank and advocacy organization. He has spent years advising Democrats, presidents included, on how to talk about economic matters. Not long ago, he put together a little PowerPoint deck. It is fascinating. You need to know about it. The entire country needs to know about it.

The presentation compares how the economy has performed by various measures under Democratic and Republican administrations, going back to 1989. That means that it fairly compares 16 years of Democratic presidencies (Clinton and Obama) to 16 (almost) years of Republican presidencies (Bush, Bush, and Trump). It uses official government numbers, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and so forth. There’s no cooking of any numbers. It’s just the facts.

And the facts are that it’s not even close. The economy does better—far better—when we have Democratic presidents. In terms of job creation, median income, health care, and yep, even the stock market, the economy does better—the American people do better—under Democratic presidents. By a mile.

Video: With Democrats Things Get Better (2/11/22)

We are pleased to offer a recording of NDN's signature presentation, With Democrats Things Get Better, from Friday, Feb 11th, 2022.  This was a particularly lively session, with lots of great discussion and loads of new material.  Hope you will check it out. 

With Dems is a 25 minute long data-filled look at the performance of the two American political parties since the end of the Cold War.  What we learn is that Democrats have repeatedly made things better when in power; the GOP not so much.  It is as we say in the deck the most important least understood story in American politics today. 

Perhaps the most remarkable stat in the deck - since 1989, and the Cold War ended, 42m net new jobs have been created in America.  40m - 95% - have been created under Democratic Presidents. 

To learn more about the big arguments in With Dems start with our recently published analysis 3 Times More Biden Jobs Than Last 3 GOP Presidents Combined and an essay, The Case for Optimism, Rejecting Trump's Poisonous Pessimism. which was the basis of the earliest version of this presentation.  We also strongly recommend reviewing David Leonhardt’s recent NYT essay "Why Are Republican Presidents So Bad for the Economy?" It makes very similar arguments and has lots of terrific and useful charts.  Our recent discussion with noted economist Rob Shapiro, and his 2 recent essays on the Biden Boom, also provide useful context.

Maria Cardona cites our research in her CNN column, as does David Rothkopf in this USA Today essay.   Mike Tomasky’s rave review of With Dems in a recent Daily Beast column is a great read.  Mike writes: “Simon Rosenberg heads NDN, a liberal think tank and advocacy organization. He has spent years advising Democrats, presidents included, on how to talk about economic matters. Not long ago, he put together a little PowerPoint deck. It is fascinating. You need to know about it. The entire country needs to know about it."  We agree of course!

We will be presenting With Dems once or twice a month through the end of the year, and we intend to take many of the arguments in our presentation to the public with op-eds, media appearances etc. You can sign up for a future showing and learn more about the arguments in the presentation here.

Thank you for your interest, and please share this video and future invites with friends and family - the more the merrier!

Video: With Democrats Things Get Better (2/11/22)

We are pleased to offer a recording of NDN's signature presentation, With Democrats Things Get Better, from Friday, Feb 11th, 2022.  This was a particularly lively session, with lots of great discussion and loads of new material.  Hope you will check it out. 

With Dems is a 25 minute long data-filled look at the performance of the two American political parties since the end of the Cold War.  What we learn is that Democrats have repeatedly made things better when in power; the GOP not so much.  It is as we say in the deck the most important least understood story in American politics today. 

Perhaps the most remarkable stat in the deck - since 1989, and the Cold War ended, 42m net new jobs have been created in America.  40m - 95% - have been created under Democratic Presidents. 

We will be presenting With Dems once or twice a month through the end of the year, and we intend to take many of the arguments in our presentation to the public with op-eds, media appearances etc. You can sign up for a future showing and learn more about the arguments in the presentation here.

Thank you for your interest, and please share this video and future invites with friends and family - the more the merrier!

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