The NYT is picking up the Bush Administration's claim that the abduction and subsequent killing of 5 US soldiers on January 20th was the work of Iranian trained and supported fighters.
An Iraqi knowledgeable about the investigation said four suspects had been detained and questioned. Based on those interviews, investigators have concluded that as they fled Karbala with the abducted Americans, the attackers used advanced devices to monitor police communications and avoid the roads where the police were searching.
The suspects have also told investigators that “a religious group in Najaf” was involved in the operation, the Iraqi said, in a clear reference to the Mahdi Army, the militia controlled by the breakaway Shiite cleric, Moktada al-Sadr. If that information holds up, it would dovetail with assertions by several Iraqi officials that Iran is financing and training a small number of splinter groups from the Mahdi Army to carry out special operations and assassinations.
This apparently growing cooperation between Iran and radical Shiite militia elements further complicates the work of US troops and increases the likelihood of eventual conflict between American and Iranian forces. Also troubling, was the attackers ability to impersonate American troops and travel without harassment by Iraqi forces, raising questions of loyalty:
An American military official said all possibilities were being explored, with the focus on whom the United States can trust, even among senior Iraqi officials, in the Karbala area.
“We’ve got to be very careful as to who we define as our allies, and who we trust and who we don’t,” the military official said. “Was the governor involved? Were the Iraqi police that were on guard complicit or just incompetent?”
Meanwhile, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is challenging the President's nominee for the #2 position at State, John Negroponte, over Iran policy:
“Do you think we are drifting toward a military confrontation with Iran?” demanded Senator Chuck Hagel, Republican of Nebraska.
“I don’t think that has to be, Senator,” Mr. Negroponte replied. “I think we would strongly prefer that the issues between us and Iran be resolved peacefully.”
Mr. Negroponte maintained that an emboldened Iran could harm American interests in the region.
“We don’t believe that their behavior, such as supporting Shia extremists in Iraq, should go unchallenged,” said Mr. Negroponte, who is now the director of national intelligence.
Sectarian violence is up dramatically, and as long as that is the case, Iran will continue to defend Shiites in Iraq. Attacks against Shiites are being timed to coincide with the Shiite holiday of Ashura, and are taking place around the country, including in Baghdad, with ever-greater weaponry and lethality:
Attackers using bombs, rockets and guns killed at least 60 Shiite worshipers Tuesday as they observed their most sacred holiday, Iraqi officials said...
A roadside bomb in the sprawling Shiite enclave of Sadr City struck an Ashura procession, killing seven people and wounding 23, Salih said.
In other neighborhoods, gunmen fired Katyusha rockets at processions and used machine guns to attack passing buses heading to Karbala, Salih added. He said at least three people died in those incidents.
If there is any good news, it is that Saudi and Iranian leaders are working together to try and stabalize Lebanon and head off war there:
Leaders of Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed party trying to overthrow Lebanon’s government, have recently visited the Saudi king in Riyadh, according to officials who attended the meeting. And Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the Saudi chief security adviser, has met with his Iranian counterpart, Ali Larijani, in Riyadh and Tehran to try to stop Lebanon’s slide into civil war.
“The only hope is for the Iranians and Saudis to go further in easing the situation and bringing people back to the negotiating table,” said Radwan Sayyed, an adviser to Prime Minister Fouad Siniora.
The Saudi-Iranian efforts have put Washington in an awkward position, since it is trying to reduce Iran’s regional influence. But since a stable Lebanon is also an American priority, American officials have watched the efforts without interfering.
