My 2016 Predictions
Each year The Hill newspaper invites some of us to make our predictions. Here is what I just sent to them this morning:
Presidential - Clinton wins 50-45, 334-204 in the Electoral College. Our next President wins all the battleground states except GA, IA and OH.
Senate - Democrats win the Senate, 50-50.
House - Democrats pick up 15 seats in the House.
Short Analysis - W/2016 win, Dems will have won more votes in 6 of past 7 Presidential elections, among strongest showings by US political party in history. Strength, success, achievement of modern Democratic Party underappreciated. Problems with emerging electorate, esp. Hispanics and Millennials, so significant now they represent possible existential threat to GOP. Watch Texas Tuesday night – higher % of Millennials & Hispanics than CA. With Clinton’s convincing win and gridlock fatigue, will be hard for GOP to repeated Obama era level of obstruction. Big conversation needed about Russian intervention in election, ways to prevent in future.
Am honored to be the only two time winner of the Hill contest. With HRC's strong showing, could be a threepeat!