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I am getting better at articulating what is behind my decision to shutter NDN - America and the Democratic Party are entering a new political age, and new thinking and new approaches are required now.
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We've put our heralded 2022 election analysis all in one place. Lots of fun stuff in here to chew on.
And yes - we did our own research.
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Center/center-left governments keep getting elected in the West. It's possible we are seeing a powerful new political movement emerge as a response to the growing threat of illiberalism.
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To start the New Year with a dash of hope and optimism, NDN shares (and updates) one of our foundational essays, "The Case for Optimism: Rejecting Trump's Poisonous Pessimism." While a few years ago old it very much speaks to the moment.
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During my own journey these last few months I came across a whole new set of institutions who are working on what I call the loudness problem. I am encouraged by what I've seen but we have a lot of work to do.
Features
6 times as many jobs have been created in Joe Biden's first 2 years than in Presidencies of the two Bushes and Trump combined. Repeated Dem...
Democrats had their 3rd consectutive impressive election, and head into the 2024 cycle in strong shape.
The Rs are still all MAGA all the...
With Dems is an indepth look at American politics since the end of the Cold War and a new age of globalization began. What it find is that when...
The original NDN was launched in 1996. Over these many years we all did a lot of good together. But it is time for a new chapter, new...
Recent Work
Over the past year or so NDN has been playing around with a better way to measure "the most important" issue question in public opinion research. Excited to release our first "Saliency Index" of the 2024 cycle.
A major NYTimes look at the "red wave" prominently features Simon's 2022 election insights.
On Dec 14th, 2022 Tom and Simon came together for their most extended discussion of the 2022 election to date. Mark Riddle of Future Majority and Tara McGowan of Courier Newsroom help guide the spirited conversation.
Dems are crushing it in the early vote, the red wave has yet to materialize, and polls this past week were on balance good for Dems.
We'd rather be us than them.
Any fair read of current data in the big statewide races makes this look far more like a competitive election than a wave. This is particularly true in the Senate, where Dems now have the edge.
Russia’s ongoing aggression, mass shootings, the end of Roe, a more complete understanding of MAGA’s attack on our political system are together creating a new strategic framework or context for US politics, the 2022 elections.
In a new memo about the current political landscape and the 2022 elections, Simon offers three reasons why, despite Biden's current polling dip, the 2022 mid-terms are likely to be much more competitive than conventional wisdom holds right now.
